The NERI webinar 'PUP transitions to employment' took place as a Zoom webinar on Wednesday 6 April at 15:00.
Presenters:
Jeff Dwan-O'Reilly (Labour market economist at the Department of Social Protection (DSP) and member of the Irish Government Economic and Evaluation Service (IGEES) and Michael McNelis (Statistician at the Department of Social Protection (DSP)
In attendance at the presentation for input into the Q&A session:
Roshin Sen (Chief Analyst at the Department of Social Protection (DSP) with responsibility for Labour Market Policy and Dermot Corcoran (Senior Statistician in the Department of Social Protection)
Abstract:
A labour market shock such as that caused by COVID-19 can be expected to have disruptive effects not just in terms of the number of people in employment but also of what are known as employment transitions – the movement of people between employments.
This paper presents an analysis, using rich administrative data, of the extent to which people who availed of the PUP have now returned to work, at any time since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020. In particular, the working paper examines whether former PUP recipients have; returned to their former job with their pre-pandemic employer, or changed employment either within their former sector of occupation or to a different sector of occupation. Further detailed breakdowns of those that have exit PUP and are evidenced as having returned to work is also provided as well as an analysis of employment transitions between individual sectors.
The findings indicate that the Irish labour market is seeing a significant level of job churn during economic recovery, with some sectors experiencing significant net losses in terms of labour while other have gained. While there is likely to be a number of factors underlying these movements, this analysis can, at least partly, explain some of the labour shortages being reported by some sectors in recruiting former or new employees.
Webinar format:
Jeff Dwan-O'Reilly (DSP) and Michael McNelis (DSP) presented the findings of their paper titled 'PUP transitions to employment'. This paper presents an analysis, using rich administrative data, of the extent to which people who availed of the PUP have now returned to work, at any time since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.
Following the initial presentation attendees had an opportunity to ask questions via the Q&A function which were then be put forward by the chair, Ciarán Nugent, NERI economist.
Please find the video here.