Posts from "Paul Mac Flynn"

Paul Mac Flynn

Paul Mac Flynn is a senior economist at the NERI specialising in the Northern Ireland Economy.

He is a graduate of University College Dublin with a BA in Economics and Politics and the University of Bristol with an MSc in Economics and Public Policy, specialising in the economic impacts of political devolution in the UK.

Having previously worked in financial services he is now based with NERI in Belfast.

Slides from NERI Seminar Belfast: Rebalancing and Regional Economic Performances: Northern Ireland in a Nordic Mirror

Posted on November 16, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

Slides from NERI Seminar Belfast: Rebalancing and Regional Economic Performances: Northern Ireland in a Nordic Mirror presented by Dr Esmond Birnie, Ulster University and Dr Graham Brownlow, Queen's University Belfast on 15th November, 2018.  

Immigration and low pay

Posted on November 08, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

Over the last number of weeks there has been increasing discussion over what the United Kingdom’s immigration policy will be once it leaves the European Union. Despite playing a disproportionately large role in the debate at the time of the referendum, the issue of immigration has since taken a back seat to the more mundane technicalities and mechanics of trade policy. What we do know is that …

The End of Austerity?

Posted on October 26, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

The UK Budget for 2019/20 will be unveiled later today by Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond. While nearly all recent discussion and debate at Westminster has been consumed by Brexit, the political context for this budget is quite different. Obviously, it will be almost impossible to avoid the issue of Brexit completely. The forecasts for economic growth and the public finances will be …

Slides from NERI Seminar: 'Housing in Northern Ireland and its implications for living standards'

Posted on September 28, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

Publication cover - Housing provision and affordability in NI NERI seminar (1)-3
Here are the slides from the NERI Seminar on the 27th September 2018, 'Housing in Northern Ireland and its implications for living standards', presented by Paul Mac Flynn and Dr Lisa Wilson from the NERI.

Northern Ireland's Public Finances - Revenue Matters

Posted on March 05, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

When the £1 billion supply and confidence deal was signed between the Conservatives and the DUP last summer, many across the water began to take a more in depth look at the public finances in Northern Ireland. When they examined official statistics, many were horrified to learn that a region to which the UK government had just pledged a massive increase in funds was already one of the highest …

Productivity matters for everyone

Posted on January 18, 2018 by Paul Mac Flynn

In recent years one economic trend in particular has become increasingly important for policymakers across most western economies and that is productivity. It has become such a significant issue because while most other economic metrics eventually began to recover following the 2008 crash, productivity has remained stubbornly weak. In simple terms productivity is a measure of how efficiently …

Posted in: Government SpendingInvestmentWages

Interest Rates: Don't move too soon

Posted on November 01, 2017 by Paul Mac Flynn

Interest rates have been making the headlines in recent weeks, as speculation mounts about a possible change in policy this Thursday. In the UK the Bank of England base rate has been at an all-time low for almost 10 years. Monetary policy has been very loose since the Great Financial Crash of 2008, not only in the UK but around the world. Low interest rates were also supplemented by a process of …

Posted in: Northern Ireland Wages

The Absence of Devolution - The Economic Costs

Posted on July 19, 2017 by Paul Mac Flynn

As the deadline of the 29th of June passed without the establishment of a new Executive, it looks as though Northern Ireland may be in for a long period with no devolved government. Quite how long this interregnum will last is in the realm of political speculation, but it does have important implications for our economy. Much has been made of the fact that, as a consequence of the failure to form …

Posted in: Government SpendingNorthern Ireland

UK Spring Budget. The calm before the storm

Posted on March 08, 2017 by Paul Mac Flynn

In what will be the UK's last Spring Budget, earlier today Philip Hammond gave what could only be described as a lacklustre financial statement to the House of Commons. There were moves to increase funding for Social Care and a small reversal of the increases to Business rates in England. At UK level, there as an increase in National Insurance for the self-employed but also an increase in tax …

Posted in: Government SpendingNorthern Ireland Taxation

QEO - The Implications of a Hard BREXIT for Northern Ireland

Posted on December 06, 2016 by Paul Mac Flynn

Brexit image
The Winter 2016 Quarterly Economic Observer was released this morning and it provides the NERI's analysis recent economic trends and the outlook for both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. We highlight the signs of decelerating growth in the Republic along with concerns about recent budgetary measures particularly in the housing sector. For Northern Ireland, the relative stability of …

Posted in: JobsNorthern Ireland

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